There is a certain idea that plagues many gamblers, whether they are new to online roulette or online roulette veterans. This idea single handedly chews through the bankrolls of gamblers and online roulette players across the world, whether they are good or bad, young or old.
The Gambler’s Fallacy is one thing you must be on constant guard against. This fallacy has been making players and gamblers make terrible bets, over and over again. Is has been around for centuries and is not going to go away anytime soon.
To sum it up quickly The Gambler’s Fallacy is the wrongly held belief that past random acts of probability will influence future random acts of probability. For example if a coin is flipped three times in a row and lands on heads, the next flip is not more likely to be tails.
The idea that the roulette table has some sort of memory and makes things balance out is entirely false. The roulette table does not care about what the last spin was, and before every spin the odds are reset to what they normally are.
The Gambler’s Fallacy is an easy thing to fall for. One of the reasons it is so appealing is that on the surface it looks like the math would suggest that there is no fallacy. If one simply looks at one set of odds it makes The Gambler’s Fallacy an easy thing to fall prey to.
To demonstrate what I mean I’ll give you two examples, one example showing why it might look like there is no fallacy. I will then give another example going deeper into the odds to show that The Gambler’s Fallacy exists for a reason.
For this experiment we need to pretend that there is no zero on the online roulette table, it simply makes the math easier. Picture the ball landing on an even number, the odds of this happening are 50%. Now picture the ball landing on an even number twice in a row, the odds of this happening are less than 50%. This is what makes it look like the ball is more likely to land odd after going even. However if you do the math you will find that the ball going even and then even again is just as likely to happen as the ball going even and then odds.
There is no reason that The Gambler’s Fallacy should destroy your bankroll. However it will as soon as you let it. If you want to do well at online roulette you must take this threat seriously otherwise it could completely and utterly destroy you.
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